The IDF assesses that Iran’s recent missile salvos have become smaller and less coordinated due to severe degradation of its strike capabilities following ongoing Israeli airstrikes.
Key Points from the IDF Assessment:
• Iran is no longer launching mass barrages; instead, it has shifted to smaller, more frequent attacks over the past 24 hours.
• This is not a strategy to conserve weapons for a prolonged war — rather, it reflects a breakdown in operational coordination.
• According to the IDF:
• Over 40% of Iran’s ballistic missile launchers have been destroyed.
• A large portion of Iran’s senior military leadership has been eliminated.
• Israeli forces are actively “hunting down” mobile launchers to prevent launches before they occur.
As a result of this reduced threat scale, the IDF Home Front Command has lifted its pre-launch alerts that had previously instructed civilians to remain near bomb shelters.
However, the IDF notes that smaller launches are harder to detect early, making them more unpredictable despite being less destructive.
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