The Kremlin has reaffirmed its unwavering commitment to its military campaign, with a spokesperson stating that “there is a war going on right now and we need to win it.” This statement reinforces Moscow’s long-held position that it will not back down from its objectives and that any peace talks must be based on its terms, which include the full capitulation of Ukraine. This stance comes at a time of heightened geopolitical tension, as Western nations and key U.S. allies call for a resolution and a ceasefire, but the Kremlin remains focused on achieving its military goals.
The Kremlin’s statement is a direct rejection of a recent shift in rhetoric from the United States, which has shown a renewed optimism for a Ukrainian military victory. The U.S. President has described the Russian military as a “paper tiger” and stated that Ukraine, with the continued support of NATO and the EU, could “fight and WIN all of Ukraine back in its original form.” Moscow’s response to this is that Russia is prepared to continue the conflict until its objectives are met, and it appears to be preparing for a long war of attrition. Recent reports indicate that the Russian military is creating a strategic reserve, which suggests a plan to escalate offensive operations in the near to medium term rather than end the war.
In addition to its military efforts, the Kremlin is also engaged in a campaign to discredit and divide the Western alliance. It has accused European leaders of “blatant lies” and “primitive hatred” of Russia, particularly in response to accusations of airspace violations and drone incursions into NATO territory. The Kremlin maintains that its aircraft strictly adhere to international rules and that any accusations are “unsubstantiated.” This is part of a broader “hybrid warfare” playbook that Moscow is using to test NATO’s political and military reactions while sowing fear and uncertainty among the European population.
The Kremlin’s strategy is based on the belief that Russia can outlast Western military support for Ukraine and that a Russian victory is inevitable. This is a core part of its disinformation campaign, which seeks to create a perception that continued support for Ukraine is futile. At the same time, Moscow has been using a “whole-of-society” approach to mobilize its citizens in support of the war, using government-organized non-governmental organizations and youth movements to promote pro-Kremlin views and resist what it calls “Western narratives.”
The Kremlin’s latest statement serves as a clear signal that there will be no diplomatic solution on Western terms. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov has reiterated that territorial exchanges will not stop the war and that any future peace settlement must address Russia’s “legitimate security interests.” This hardline stance suggests that Moscow is not interested in a compromise and is prepared to continue its military campaign on the battlefield until it achieves its maximalist demands. This leaves the conflict at a dangerous and uncertain point, with the Kremlin’s commitment to “win” putting it on a collision course with a revitalized Western commitment to a Ukrainian victory.
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